COVID 19 Should You Hike

Depressing, surreal and fascinating. This sums up the COVID-19 pandemic for me.

In this time of self-isolation, ironically, there's no better time to get outside. However, should you be outside with people other than members of your immediate household? You need to decide. The following information can help you determine the impact on your family and others; particularly those with increased susceptibility.

Remember, your actions directly jeopardize the well-being of others.

Mortality is the thing. It will flucuate wildly in the early days of this event. Source data is from USAFacts.org. Download the projection data as a CSV file.

U.S. Population
330,000,000

Confirmed Cases
36,164,457

Confirmed Deaths
615,386

Mortality
1.70%

Deaths Double
every 242 days

% of Population	Projected Cases	Projected Deaths
Report for Aug 16, 2021
10.959%	36,164,457	615,386
10%	33,000,000	561,539
20%	66,000,000	1,123,077
30%	99,000,000	1,684,616
40%	132,000,000	2,246,154
50%	165,000,000	2,807,693
60%	198,000,000	3,369,232
70%	231,000,000	3,930,770
80%	264,000,000	4,492,309
90%	297,000,000	5,053,847
100%	330,000,000	5,615,386

By now you've probably heard the term flattening of the curve. Experts are saying when the curve flattens out we can return to normal. As of March 25th, 2020 the curve is almost vertical. Peak or flattening is expected by the 2nd or 3rd week in April.

COVID-19 Confirmed Cases Graph
Total number of confirmed cases. This is probably much lower than actual cases since not everyone is tested or on a constant basis.

COVID-19 Deaths Graph
Total number of deaths for the U.S. This is the most accurate indicator of how the COVID-19 pandemic is unfolding.

COVID-19 Daily Cases Graph
The number of new cases reported each day. Again, this is reported and probably far lower than actual cases.

COVID-19 Daily Deaths Graph
Daily deaths if the grim reality and again, the most accurate way to gauge this event.

COVID-19 Deaths Doubling by Day Graph
This is an excellent way to see how rapidly the pandemic is progressing. The smaller the number, the faster spread. The entire point of 'locking down' is to have this number increase by 1 every day, hence no doubling.

The data for the graphs can be downloaded in CSV format.

Change Log
Feb 12, 2021 - source changed data format, yet again, fixed to accomodate.
Feb 6, 2021 - source changed data format, fixed to accomodate.
Apr 3, 2020 - added urban area cases/deaths map.
Mar 31, 2020 - added days deaths double numbers/graphs.
Mar 31, 2020 - added daily cases/deaths graphs.
Mar 26, 2020 - added total cases/deaths graphs.
Mar 24, 2020 - made cases/deaths overlays on google map.
Mar 22, 2020 - added national map.
Mar 22, 2020 - This is the initial release of this page. We will be adding trail related data to it.

COVID 19: Should You Hike?