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About
Where it all begins.
We've heard plenty about staying away from the trail due to COVID this coming hiking season. Yet, no one has published any solid information as to why. The following looks at near trail COVID cases, meaning within ~6 miles either side of the Pacific Crest Trail. Data is from January 15th 2021.
Hikers only occassionally stray further than 6 miles off the trail to resupply. As shown, the vast majority of these near trail counties are hardly touched by COVID. Further, many of these towns have well travled roads that bring many, many more visitors than what the hiking community represents. Given the information below, we find it difficult to believe that hikers will have any siginificant negative impact on trail communities. To the contrary, their business and presence will be welcomed.
Entire County | Near Trail | |||||
County | Cases | Deaths | Cases | Deaths | Start Mile | End Mile |
San Diego | 204173 | 2005 | 11083.972 | 108.846 | 0.00 | 130.00 |
Riverside | 231684 | 2399 | 3824.430 | 39.601 | 130.01 | 222.09 |
San Bernardino | 243379 | 1560 | 5068.400 | 32.487 | 222.09 | 358.14 |
Los Angeles | 954652 | 13234 | 51800.315 | 718.089 | 358.15 | 515.28 |
Kern | 77070 | 551 | 992.421 | 7.095 | 515.28 | 669.06 |
Inyo | 790 | 27 | 0.215 | 0.007 | 669.06 | 741.70 |
Tulare | 39565 | 494 | 30.123 | 0.376 | 669.11 | 780.13 |
Fresno | 79033 | 904 | 4.774 | 0.055 | 780.14 | 900.41 |
Madera | 12742 | 130 | 8.695 | 0.089 | 900.42 | 923.70 |
Mono | 1020 | 4 | 5.876 | 0.023 | 923.71 | 1020.58 |
Tuolumne | 3215 | 36 | 4.068 | 0.046 | 928.84 | 1016.31 |
El Dorado | 7321 | 39 | 179.983 | 0.959 | 1079.42 | 1117.88 |
Placer | 16488 | 172 | 231.572 | 2.416 | 1117.89 | 1152.17 |
Nevada | 3075 | 71 | 83.676 | 1.932 | 1152.18 | 1174.39 |
Sierra | 35 | 0 | 0.831 | 0.000 | 1174.40 | 1232.08 |
Plumas | 496 | 5 | 4.226 | 0.043 | 1212.17 | 1353.00 |
Butte | 9127 | 120 | 39.167 | 0.515 | 1299.46 | 1313.32 |
Tehama | 3664 | 42 | 9.155 | 0.105 | 1313.97 | 1339.90 |
Shasta | 9334 | 111 | 109.694 | 1.304 | 1353.00 | 1514.32 |
Siskiyou | 1108 | 12 | 40.618 | 0.440 | 1514.32 | 1698.13 |
Trinity | 261 | 4 | 0.876 | 0.013 | 1527.67 | 1581.48 |
Jackson | 6806 | 82 | 198.868 | 2.396 | 1698.14 | 1781.25 |
Klamath | 2366 | 34 | 6.865 | 0.099 | 1763.78 | 1922.06 |
Douglas | 1650 | 43 | 1.864 | 0.049 | 1854.45 | 1895.05 |
Lane | 8127 | 107 | 13.793 | 0.182 | 1900.10 | 1993.65 |
Deschutes | 4846 | 33 | 11.981 | 0.082 | 1922.07 | 1999.65 |
Linn | 3065 | 42 | 6.367 | 0.087 | 1995.39 | 2039.48 |
Jefferson | 1675 | 25 | 4.905 | 0.073 | 2013.92 | 2055.59 |
Marion | 15972 | 233 | 13.792 | 0.201 | 2039.48 | 2062.49 |
Clackamas | 11499 | 135 | 113.667 | 1.334 | 2062.49 | 2126.06 |
Wasco | 1051 | 23 | 3.673 | 0.080 | 2065.29 | 2099.61 |
Hood River | 935 | 21 | 23.597 | 0.530 | 2099.62 | 2157.60 |
Multnomah | 28030 | 454 | 202.350 | 3.277 | 2128.26 | 2133.55 |
Skamania | 221 | 1 | 18.990 | 0.086 | 2157.61 | 2256.18 |
Yakima | 22529 | 344 | 69.132 | 1.056 | 2256.18 | 2358.16 |
Lewis | 2879 | 34 | 12.217 | 0.144 | 2269.41 | 2325.48 |
Pierce | 30193 | 411 | 136.796 | 1.862 | 2326.97 | 2359.30 |
King | 71646 | 1144 | 1021.892 | 16.317 | 2359.31 | 2479.05 |
Kittitas | 1933 | 30 | 59.511 | 0.924 | 2359.71 | 2457.06 |
Chelan | 5347 | 42 | 14.362 | 0.113 | 2467.16 | 2594.51 |
Snohomish | 25698 | 440 | 8.912 | 0.153 | 2486.32 | 2557.75 |
Skagit | 3750 | 46 | 6.412 | 0.079 | 2594.51 | 2602.98 |
Okanogan | 1918 | 30 | 2.278 | 0.036 | 2598.27 | 2650.00 |
Whatcom | 4594 | 56 | 3.649 | 0.044 | 2612.75 | 2646.52 |
Lassen | 4673 | 13 | 0.099 | 0.000 | No near-trail urban areas | |
Josephine | 1689 | 31 | 0.003 | 0.000 | No near-trail urban areas | |
Mariposa | 302 | 4 | 0.019 | 0.000 | No near-trail urban areas | |
Amador | 2940 | 29 | 5.554 | 0.055 | No near-trail urban areas |
How is this done? A = total county urban area, a = county urban area within the 12 mile swath. S = a/A, gives us a percent, S * total county cases = near trail cases, S * total county deaths = near trail deaths.
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